Chiến lược giao dịch Quyền chọn Nhị phân dựa trên xu hướng

Chiến lược giao dịch Quyền chọn Nhị phân dựa trên xu hướng là gì?

Có hàng trăm chiến lược Forex mà chúng ta có thể tìm thấy, dù vậy không phải chiến lược nào cũng phù hợp với giao dịch quyền chọn nhị phân. Chìa khóa là ở chỗ các chiến lược cần phải chỉ ra đúng xu hướng để nhà đầu tư quyền chọn có thể quyết định đầu tư. Khi đã xác định được xu hướng thì việc xác định thời gian kỳ hạn sẽ dễ dàng hơn. Dưới đây là Chiến lược giao dịch Quyền chọn Nhị phân dựa trên xu hướng (On Trend Strategy) mà chúng ta có thể áp dụng.

Các chỉ số cần sử dụng trong chiến lược giao dịch dựa vào xu hướng này

  • EMA (Exponential Moving Average) 4 và 10
  • ADXAverage Directional Index) 28
  • MACD cài đặt 5, 10, 4

Thời điểm giao dịch

Buy

  • Đường ADX +D1 nằm phía trên đường ADX -D1
  • EMA 4 vượt qua đường EMA 10
  • MACD nằm phía trên mức 0

Sell

  • Đường ADX -D1 nằm trên đường ADX +D1
  • EMA 4 xuống thấp hơn EMA 10
  • MACD nằm phía dưới mức 0

Lưu ý rằng các tín hiệu này có thể không xuất hiện cùng lúc mà sẽ lệch nhau một khoảng thời gian ngắn và sau đó giá tài sản sẽ thay đổi nhanh chóng. Nếu các tín hiệu này xuất hiện càng gần nhau thì tỉ lệ thắng sẽ cao hơn. Dưới đây là một ví dụ về một quyền chọn Sell:

chiến lược giao dịch quyền chọn nhị phân
Ví dụ minh họa về chiến lược giao dịch quyền chọn nhị phân dựa vào xu hướng

Ở chiến lược này ta nên lưu ý đến tín hiệu của đường ADM bởi chúng sẽ ít bị nhiễu từ thị trường hơn 2 tín hiệu còn lại. Nếu đường màu đỏ nằm trên đường màu xanh lá thì gần như chắc chắn bạn sẽ thắng khi chọn Sell.

Dù vậy, các đường MA thường bị chậm so với thực tế do đó sẽ kém tin cậy hơn. Điều này tương tự với đường MACD. Thực tế, nếu để ý kĩ sẽ thấy cài đặt của đường EMAMACD gần giống nhau khiến cho tín hiệu của hai đường này sẽ có phần nào đó giống nhau.

Cuối cùng để xác định thời gian kỳ hạn thì sẽ có phần hơi mánh khóe. Thông thường, thời gian kỳ hạn sẽ phải dài hơn so với khung thời gian bạn đang sử dụng trên biểu đồ phân tích. Tức là ví dụ bạn đang để biểu đồ với khung thời gian là 5 phút thì thời gian kỳ hạn ít nhất cũng là 15 phút bởi rõ ràng các cây nến tiếp theo không thể đi ngược xu hướng bạn dự đoán.

Chiến lược giao dịch Quyền chọn Nhị phân dựa trên xu hướng
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